19 June 2016

STATUS QUO IN SUNGAI BESAR AND KUALA KANGSAR

So, as expected, the Barisan Nasional  (BN) coalition held Sungai Besar and Kuala Kangsar in the byelections held of 18 June 2016 with slightly larger majorities in percentage terms, with lower voter turnouts in both parliamentary constituencies.

In Sungai Besar, Selangor, the BN increased its votes by 3.12 percentage points from 50.53% of 36,991 votes in the May 2013 general elections to 53.65% of 31,311 votes in the June 2016 byelection.

In Kuala Kangsar, Perak, the BN gained 0.21 percentage points from 51.14% of 27,801 votes in the May 2013 general elections to 51.35% of 23,274 votes in the June 2016 byelection.

These results were in a four cornered fight in Sungai Besar in June 2016 over a straight one on one fight in May 2013 and a four cornered fight in Kuala Kangsar in June 2016 versus a three cornered fight in May 2013.

Despite some sensationalist media reports of a "massive majority" for the BN in Sungai Besar in June 2016, this result shows more or less status quo for the BN in these two constituencies, given that Amanah is a recent breakaway faction of PAS.

The results tabulated below suggest that PAS voters in 2013 remained loyal to PAS and Amanah in June 2016, with votes split between the two, whilst BN voters in 2013 remained loyal to BN in 2016.

 

SUNGAI BESAR, SELANGOR BYELECTION RESULTS 18 JUNE 2016
CANDIDATE
PARTY
VOTES
% VOTES
Budiman Modh Zohdi
BN
16,800
53.65
Dr. Abdul Rani Osman
PAS
6,902
22.04
Azhar Abdul Shukur
Amanah
7609
24.30


TOTAL VOTES
31,311




SUNGAI BESAR, SELANGOR ELECTION RESULTS MAY 2013
CANDIDATE
PARTY
VOTES
% VOTES
Noriah Kasnon
BN
18,695
50.53
Mohd Salleh M Husin
PAS
18,296
49.46


TOTAL VOTES
36,991





KUALA KANGSAR, PERAK BYELECTION RESULTS 18 JUNE 2016
CANDIDATE
PARTY
VOTES
% VOTES
Mastura Mohd Zahid
BN
12,653
51.35
Dr Najihatussalehah Ahmad
PAS
5,684
24.42
Prof Dr Ahmad Termizi Ramli
Amanah
4,883
20.98
Izat Bukhary Ismail Bukhary
Independent
54
0.23


TOTAL VOTES
23,274




KUALA KANGSAR, PERAK ELECTION RESULTS MAY 2013
CANDIDATE
PARTY
VOTES
% VOTES
Wan Mohd Khairil Anuar Wan Ahmad
BN
14,218
51.14
Khalil Idham Lim Abdullah
PAS
13,136
47.25
Kamilia Ibrahim
Independent
447
1.60


TOTAL VOTES
27,801



In the aftermath of this result, Free Malaysia Today reports that the Pakatan Harapan pact wants PAS back at the negotiating table, now that they realise that they do not have a chance of beating the BN in the 2018 general elections without PAS.


Pakatan Harapan wants PAS back at negotiating table

Mohamad Fadli Opposition should avoid three-cornered fights as people want the coalition to be strong.
KUALA KANGSAR: The defeat of Parti Amanah Negara (Amanah) in the Kuala Kangsar by-election is a sign that people want the coalition to be strong, Amanah Deputy President Salahuddin Ayub said.

He added that Pakatan Harapan was open to inviting PAS back to the negotiating table.

“There is still time to repair things.

“We are always open to discussions with PAS,” he said at a press conference at the Amanah Perak headquarters immediately after the Election Commission (EC) announced the results of the Kuala Kangsar by-election.

Barisan Nasional (BN) candidate Mastura Mohd Yazid won the parliamentary by-election after defeating candidates from Amanah, PAS and an Independent.

Mastura emerged victorious with a majority of 6,969 votes, recording a significant increase compared to the last general election.

Meanwhile, DAP’s Taiping MP, Nga Kor Ming also agreed with Salahuddin that PAS return to the discussion table with Pakatan Harapan.

He said the three-cornered fight clearly affected the Opposition’s chances of defeating BN.

“PAS has to go into negotiations with Pakatan Harapan. If PAS does not want to lose, they should avoid three-cornered fights. We are always open, but PAS should be sincere.”

Meanwhile, Nga claimed that 300 loyal DAP voters who wanted to support the Amanah candidate were transferred to the Padang Rengas parliamentary constituency.

He said the EC had acted unfairly and this was one of the reasons Pakatan Harapan had lesser votes.

http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/nation/2016/06/19/pakatan-harapan-wants-pas-back-at-negotiating-table/

Now why didn't they figure that out earlier.

Let's wait and see how they work this one out, if they can work it out.


Charles F. Moreira


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